Torfaen
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Nick Thomas-Symonds
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Cons: 14.0%; PC: 13.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 15.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Lab: 19.0%; PC: 15.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 22.0%; PC: 14.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Other: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 12.0%; PC: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 15.0%; PC: 13.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 23.0%; PC: 11.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 22.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Other: 10.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 14.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7322 (20.50%)
Turnout: 49.77%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Thomas-Symonds | Labour Party | 15176 | 42.5% |
| Ian Michael Williams | Reform UK | 7854 | 22.0% |
| Nathan John Edmunds | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5737 | 16.1% |
| Matthew Jones | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 2571 | 7.2% |
| Philip Davies | Green Party | 1705 | 4.8% |
| Brendan Roberts | Liberal Democrats | 1644 | 4.6% |
| Lee Dunning | Independent | 881 | 2.5% |
| Nikki Brooke | Heritage Party | 137 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4110 (9.43%)
Turnout: 61.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 18616 | 42.7% |
| Conservative | 14506 | 33.3% |
| Reform UK | 5742 | 13.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2157 | 5.0% |
| Plaid Cymru | 1566 | 3.6% |
| Green | 966 | 2.2% |