Dwyfor Meirionnydd

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 50.0%; Ref: 32.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 48.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 45.0%; Ref: 31.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 66.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 39.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 44.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 37.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 64.0%; Ref: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 43.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 45.0%; Ref: 14.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 45.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 11.0%; Cons: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 53.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe PC	Victory chances: PC: 96.8%

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 15876 (39.30%)
Turnout: 55.30%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Liz Saville Roberts	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	21788	53.9%
Joanna Stallard	Labour Party	5912	14.6%
Lucy Murphy	Reform UK	4857	12.0%
Tomos Day	Conservative and Unionist Party	4712	11.7%
Karl Drinkwater	Green Party	1448	3.6%
Phoebe Jenkins	Liberal Democrats	1381	3.4%
Joan Ginsberg	Heritage Party	297	0.7%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 9880 (19.55%)
Turnout: 69.6%