Dwyfor Meirionnydd

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 55%; Ref: 23%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 38%; Ref: 22%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 50%; Ref: 32%
More in Common January 2026	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 48%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 45%; Ref: 31%
YouGov September 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 66%; Ref: 17%
More in Common September 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 39%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 14%; Cons: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 44%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 37%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 12%; Cons: 10%
YouGov June 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 64%; Ref: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 43%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 15%; Lab: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 45%; Ref: 14%; LD: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 45%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 11%; Cons: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 53%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 11%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe PC	Victory chances: PC: 97%

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 15876 (39.30%)
Turnout: 55.30%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Liz Saville Roberts	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	21788	53.9%
Joanna Elinor Sully Stallard	Labour Party	5912	14.6%
Lucy Murphy	Reform UK	4857	12.0%
Tomos Day	Conservative and Unionist Party	4712	11.7%
Karl Drinkwater	Green Party	1448	3.6%
Phoebe Clare Rose Jenkins	Liberal Democrats	1381	3.4%
Joan Ginsberg	Heritage Party	297	0.7%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 9880 (19.55%)
Turnout: 69.6%