Cardiff South and Penarth
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Stephen Doughty
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 26%; Green: 25%; Ref: 14%; Lab: 13%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 13%; PC: 11%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Green: 21%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 13%; PC: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 21%; PC: 20%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Ref: 20%; PC: 17%; Green: 13%; Cons: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 23%; PC: 20%; Ref: 17%; Green: 16%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 27%; Green: 14%; PC: 14%; Cons: 13% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; PC: 19%; Ref: 18%; Cons: 13%; Green: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 21%; PC: 16%; Cons: 14%; Green: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 22%; Green: 19%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; Ref: 16%; Green: 14%; PC: 13% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Green: 17%; Ref: 17%; PC: 16%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 16%; Green: 12%; PC: 10% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Green: 16%; Cons: 13%; Ref: 13%; LD: 11%; PC: 11% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 97% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11767 (30.03%)
Turnout: 53.62%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Doughty | Labour and Co-operative Party | 17428 | 44.5% |
| Anthony Slaughter | Green Party | 5661 | 14.5% |
| Ellis Smith | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5459 | 13.9% |
| Simon Llewellyn | Reform UK | 4493 | 11.5% |
| Sharifah Rahman | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 3227 | 8.2% |
| Alex Wilson | Liberal Democrats | 2908 | 7.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11851 (23.52%)
Turnout: 69.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 27030 | 53.7% |
| Conservative | 15179 | 30.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3528 | 7.0% |
| Plaid Cymru | 2091 | 4.2% |
| Reform UK | 1389 | 2.8% |
| Green | 1153 | 2.3% |