Caerfyrddin
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Ann Davies
Party: Plaid Cymru
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 45%; Ref: 30%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 30%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 12%; Green: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 41%; Ref: 40% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 34%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 19% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 41%; Ref: 37% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 31%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 15% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 26%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 17%; Lab: 15% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean PC | Vote shares: PC: 39%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 30%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 16% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 34%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 13%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 29%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 15% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 30%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; PC: 25%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 15% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean PC | Vote shares: PC: 35%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 15% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe PC | Victory chances: PC: 98% |
2024 results
Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 4535 (9.94%)
Turnout: 61.62%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Davies | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 15520 | 34.0% |
| Martha Angharad O'Neil | Labour Party | 10985 | 24.1% |
| Simon Hart | Conservative and Unionist Party | 8825 | 19.4% |
| Bernard Holton | Reform UK | 6944 | 15.2% |
| Nick Beckett | Liberal Democrats | 1461 | 3.2% |
| Will Beasley | Green Party | 1371 | 3.0% |
| Nancy Cole | Women's Equality Party | 282 | 0.6% |
| David Mark Evans | Workers Party of Britain | 216 | 0.5% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4529 (8.49%)
Turnout: 73.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 20891 | 39.2% |
| Plaid Cymru | 16362 | 30.7% |
| Labour | 13380 | 25.1% |
| Reform UK | 2023 | 3.8% |
| Liberal Democrats | 686 | 1.3% |