Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Nick Smith
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; PC: 28.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 18.0%; PC: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 24.0%; PC: 12.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; PC: 13.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Other: 20.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%; PC: 13.0%; Other: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 28.0%; PC: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 24.0%; PC: 15.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 17.0%; PC: 15.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Other: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 19.0%; PC: 18.0%; Other: 14.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Safe Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; Other: 14.0%; PC: 13.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.4%; Green: 16.4%; Cons: 11.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12183 (40.71%)
Turnout: 42.65%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Smith | Labour Party | 16027 | 53.6% |
| Niamh Salkeld | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 3844 | 12.8% |
| Hannah Jarvis | Conservative and Unionist Party | 3776 | 12.6% |
| Mike Whatley | Independent | 2409 | 8.1% |
| Anne Baker | Green Party | 1719 | 5.7% |
| Jackie Charlton | Liberal Democrats | 1268 | 4.2% |
| Yas Iqbal | Workers Party of Britain | 570 | 1.9% |
| Robert Griffiths | Communist Party of Britain | 309 | 1.0% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12969 (30.80%)
Turnout: 59.2%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 21215 | 50.4% |
| Conservative | 8246 | 19.6% |
| Reform UK | 7574 | 18.0% |
| Plaid Cymru | 2687 | 6.4% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1576 | 3.7% |
| Green | 418 | 1.0% |
| Other | 378 | 0.9% |