Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 18%; Green: 15%; Ref: 15%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 25%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 19%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 31%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 22%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 43%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; SNP: 33%; Ref: 14%
YouGov June 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; SNP: 33%; Ref: 15%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 27%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 20%; Ref: 15%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 32%; Ref: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; SNP: 31%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 10%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 98%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6371 (15.78%)
Turnout: 57.54%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Martin McCluskey	Labour Party	18931	46.9%
Ronnie Cowan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	12560	31.1%
Ted Runciman	Conservative and Unionist Party	2863	7.1%
Simon Charles Wheeler Moorehead	Reform UK	2476	6.1%
Ross Stalker	Liberal Democrats	1259	3.1%
Iain Hamilton	Scottish Green Party	1173	2.9%
Christopher William McEleny	Alba Party	723	1.8%
John Burleigh	Independent	365	0.9%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 8933 (19.28%)
Turnout: 65.8%