Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 19.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 31.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 43.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 27.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Ref: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Lab: 32.0%; Ref: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; SNP: 31.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 97.8%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6371 (15.78%)
Turnout: 57.54%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Martin McCluskey	Labour Party	18931	46.9%
Ronnie Cowan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	12560	31.1%
Ted Runciman	Conservative and Unionist Party	2863	7.1%
Simon Charles Wheeler Moorehead	Reform UK	2476	6.1%
Ross Stalker	Liberal Democrats	1259	3.1%
Iain Hamilton	Scottish Green Party	1173	2.9%
Christopher William McEleny	Alba Party	723	1.8%
John Burleigh	Independent	365	0.9%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 8933 (19.28%)
Turnout: 65.8%