Falkirk

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 21.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 22.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 21.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 39.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 100.0%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4996 (11.72%)
Turnout: 57.93%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Euan Stainbank	Labour Party	18343	43.0%
Toni Giugliano	Scottish National Party (SNP)	13347	31.3%
James Bundy	Conservative and Unionist Party	3576	8.4%
Keith Barrow	Reform UK	3375	7.9%
Rachel Kidd	Scottish Green Party	1711	4.0%
Tim McKay	Liberal Democrats	1092	2.6%
Mark Andrew Tunnicliff	Independent	600	1.4%
Zohaib Arshad	Alba Party	581	1.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 12578 (25.82%)
Turnout: 64.9%