Dunfermline and Dollar

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 23.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; SNP: 28.0%; Lab: 24.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; SNP: 24.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 24.0%; SNP: 19.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Cons: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 70.8%; Ref: 21.0%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 8241 (18.50%)
Turnout: 61.16%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Graeme Downie	Labour Party	20336	45.7%
Naz Anis-Miah	Scottish National Party (SNP)	12095	27.2%
Thomas Heald	Conservative and Unionist Party	3297	7.4%
Lauren Buchanan-Quigley	Liberal Democrats	3181	7.1%
Udo Van Den Brock	Reform UK	2887	6.5%
Ryan Blackadder	Scottish Green Party	2078	4.7%
Graham Wilson Hadley	Independent	324	0.7%
Danny Smith	Scottish Family Party	251	0.6%
George Morton	Independent	88	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 10073 (20.71%)
Turnout: 68.7%