Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 23.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 24.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%; SNP: 22.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; SNP: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; SNP: 31.0%; Ref: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 51.6%; Lab: 47.0%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7248 (17.75%)
Turnout: 56.81%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Melanie Ward	Labour Party	18662	45.7%
Lesley Backhouse	Scottish National Party (SNP)	11414	28.0%
Jonny Gray	Conservative and Unionist Party	3203	7.8%
Sonia Davidson	Reform UK	3128	7.7%
Fraser Graham	Liberal Democrats	1593	3.9%
Mags Hall	Scottish Green Party	1556	3.8%
Neale Hanvey	Alba Party	1132	2.8%
Caz Paul	Scottish Libertarian Party	126	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 3220 (6.82%)
Turnout: 67%