Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 18.0%; Ref: 18.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; LD: 24.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Cons: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 17.0%; Ref: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 21.0%; LD: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 16.0%; Ref: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 14.0%; Ref: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 100.0%

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 6232 (13.89%)
Turnout: 62.52%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Brendan O'Hara	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15582	34.7%
Amanda Hampsey	Conservative and Unionist Party	9350	20.8%
Hamish Maxwell	Labour Party	8585	19.1%
Alan Reid	Liberal Democrats	7359	16.4%
Melanie Hurst	Reform UK	3045	6.8%
Tommy Macpherson	Independent	941	2.1%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 4897 (9.65%)
Turnout: 70.7%