Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Cons: 21%; LD: 16%; Ref: 11%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 27%; LD: 22%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35%; Cons: 18%; LD: 18%; Ref: 18%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30%; LD: 24%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 11%; LD: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Ref: 20%; LD: 17%; Cons: 13%; Lab: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 14%; Lab: 12%; LD: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Cons: 19%; LD: 17%; Ref: 14%
YouGov June 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 21%; LD: 16%; Cons: 14%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 19%; LD: 16%; Ref: 14%
More in Common April 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%; LD: 13%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38%; Cons: 19%; LD: 14%; Ref: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 16%; LD: 15%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 100%

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 6232 (13.89%)
Turnout: 62.52%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Brendan O'Hara	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15582	34.7%
Amanda Hampsey	Conservative and Unionist Party	9350	20.8%
Hamish Maxwell	Labour Party	8585	19.1%
Alan Reid	Liberal Democrats	7359	16.4%
Melanie Hurst	Reform UK	3045	6.8%
Tommy Macpherson	Independent	941	2.1%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 4897 (9.65%)
Turnout: 70.7%