Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Lara Bird
Party: Scottish National
Who Can I Vote For?

Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

NameDateDescriptionParty
Lara BirdJun 18, 2026By-electionScottish National
(None)May 14, 2026Resigned as MP.(n/a)
Stephen GethinsJul 4, 20242024 election.Scottish National

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 16%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 12%
More in Common April 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 34%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 13%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 45%; Ref: 29%
More in Common January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 36%; SNP: 34%; Cons: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 50%; Ref: 35%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 29%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%; Cons: 10%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 31%; SNP: 29%; Lab: 16%; Cons: 11%
More in Common July 2025Safe SNPVote shares: SNP: 47%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 14%
YouGov June 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 14%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 38%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 19%; Ref: 14%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe SNPVictory chances: SNP: 100%

By-election 2026-06-18

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 4961 (20.44%)

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Lara BirdScottish National Party (SNP)980240.4%
Bill ReidReform UK484119.9%
Jack CruickshanksConservative and Unionist Party452418.6%
Heather DoranLabour Party365115.0%
Tanvir AhmadLiberal Democrats14526.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 859 (1.94%)
Turnout: 57.94%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Stephen GethinsScottish National Party (SNP)1558135.3%
Cheryl-Ann CruickshankLabour Party1472233.4%
Richard John BrooksConservative and Unionist Party684115.5%
Gwen WoodReform UK38008.6%
David Ronald EvansLiberal Democrats22495.1%
Ghazi KhanAlba Party6931.6%
Moira Macpherson BrownSovereignty2310.5%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 10777 (20.67%)
Turnout: 67.9%

PartyVotesShare
Scottish National2655050.9%
Conservative1577330.3%
Labour532110.2%
Liberal Democrats41688.0%
Other3120.6%