Airdrie and Shotts

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 23.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 39.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Cons: 16.0%; LD: 12.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 90.6%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7547 (20.58%)
Turnout: 52.23%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kenneth Stevenson	Labour Party	18871	51.5%
Anum Qaisar	Scottish National Party (SNP)	11324	30.9%
David Hall	Reform UK	2971	8.1%
Alexandra Herdman	Conservative and Unionist Party	1696	4.6%
Lewis Younie	Liberal Democrats	725	2.0%
Josh Robertson	Alba Party	623	1.7%
John Jo Leckie	British Unionist Party	456	1.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 5324 (11.48%)
Turnout: 65.8%