Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; SNP: 41%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; SNP: 25%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38%; Cons: 34%; Ref: 19%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; SNP: 27%; Cons: 23%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 27%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 22%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; SNP: 31%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 21%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 21%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; SNP: 28%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 11%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 20%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; SNP: 30%; Ref: 22%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 100%

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 942 (2.46%)
Turnout: 54.51%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Seamus Logan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	13455	35.2%
Douglas Gordon Ross	Conservative and Unionist Party	12513	32.8%
Jo Hart	Reform UK	5562	14.6%
Andy Brown	Labour Party	3876	10.1%
Ian James Bailey	Liberal Democrats	2782	7.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2399 (5.22%)
Turnout: 64.2%