Aberdeen South

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Douglas Lumsden
Party: Conservative
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Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

NameDateDescriptionParty
Douglas LumsdenJun 18, 2026By-electionConservative
(None)May 14, 2026Resigned as MP.(n/a)
Stephen Mark FlynnJul 4, 20242024 election.Scottish National

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 42%; Cons: 33%; Green: 11%
More in Common April 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 26%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 18%; Ref: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 33%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 10%
More in Common January 2026Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 40%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 16%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 34%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 10%
YouGov September 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 33%; Cons: 19%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 14%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 29%; SNP: 24%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 12%; LD: 12%
More in Common July 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 25%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 35%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 14%; Ref: 14%
YouGov June 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 27%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 35%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 14%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 28%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 14%; Lab: 11%; Green: 10%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 36%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 13%; Ref: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 29%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 13%; Ref: 13%; LD: 10%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe SNPVictory chances: SNP: 99%

By-election 2026-06-18

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 6050 (20.93%)

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Douglas LumsdenConservative and Unionist Party1430849.5%
Richard Gordon ThomsonScottish National Party (SNP)825828.6%
Jo HartReform UK24788.6%
Nurul Hoque AliLabour Party15505.4%
Mel SullivanLiberal Democrats12704.4%
Jorg Shelton-EcksteinScottish Green Party9743.4%
David BallantineAlliance for Democracy and Freedom590.2%

2024 results

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 3758 (8.10%)
Turnout: 59.93%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Stephen Mark FlynnScottish National Party (SNP)1521332.8%
M. Tauqeer MalikLabour Party1145524.7%
John WheelerConservative and Unionist Party1130024.4%
Michael PearceReform UK31996.9%
Jeff GoodhallLiberal Democrats29216.3%
Guy IngersonScottish Green Party16093.5%
Graeme CraibScottish Family Party4230.9%
Sophie MollyIndependent2250.5%

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2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 5463 (10.90%)
Turnout: 65.5%

PartyVotesShare
Scottish National2268345.3%
Conservative1722034.4%
Liberal Democrats535810.7%
Labour43948.8%
Green2680.5%
Reform UK1950.4%