York Outer
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Luke Charters
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; Ref: 19%; Green: 17%; LD: 15% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; LD: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 23%; LD: 13%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 24%; LD: 11%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 40% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 27%; LD: 16%; Cons: 15%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 21%; LD: 13%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Cons: 24%; LD: 21%; Ref: 19% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 18%; LD: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 20%; LD: 15%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 24%; LD: 12% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 23%; LD: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 21% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 22%; LD: 12% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9391 (18.37%)
Turnout: 67.04%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Charters | Labour Party | 23161 | 45.3% |
| Julian Sturdy | Conservative and Unionist Party | 13770 | 26.9% |
| John Edward Crispin-Bailey | Reform UK | 5912 | 11.6% |
| Andrew Hollyer | Liberal Democrats | 5496 | 10.8% |
| Michael Robin Kearney | Green Party | 2212 | 4.3% |
| David James Eadington | Yorkshire Party | 260 | 0.5% |
| Keith Andrew Hayden | Independent | 141 | 0.3% |
| Hal Aenas Mayne | Independent | 88 | 0.2% |
| Darren Borrows | Independent | 66 | 0.1% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10782 (19.69%)
Turnout: 75.3%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 27173 | 49.6% |
| Labour | 16391 | 29.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10222 | 18.7% |
| Other | 692 | 1.3% |
| Reform UK | 263 | 0.5% |
| Green | 9 | 0.0% |