Winchester
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Danny Chambers
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 13.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 50.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 17.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 20.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 12.0%; Lab: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 10.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 51.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 16.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 18.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 11.0%; Ref: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 13.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 16.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe LD | Victory chances: LD: 99.6% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 13821 (24.21%)
Turnout: 72.90%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Chambers | Liberal Democrats | 29939 | 52.5% |
| Flick Drummond | Conservative and Unionist Party | 16118 | 28.2% |
| Sean Whelan | Reform UK | 4797 | 8.4% |
| Hannah Louise Dawson | Labour Party | 3023 | 5.3% |
| Lorraine Estelle | Green Party | 2740 | 4.8% |
| Andrew Davis | Social Democratic Party | 146 | 0.3% |
| Chris Barfoot | Independent | 142 | 0.2% |
| Kevin D'Cruze | Independent | 127 | 0.2% |
| Andy Liming | Hampshire Independents | 44 | 0.1% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 9050 (14.16%)
Turnout: 83.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 34522 | 54.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 25472 | 39.9% |
| Labour | 3039 | 4.8% |
| Green | 586 | 0.9% |
| Other | 292 | 0.5% |