Westmorland and Lonsdale

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 13.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 56.0%; Ref: 34.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 61.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 52.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 16.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 48.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 64.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 50.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Lab: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 56.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 14.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 21472 (43.34%)
Turnout: 68.77%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tim Farron	Liberal Democrats	31061	62.7%
Matty Jackman	Conservative and Unionist Party	9589	19.4%
James Townley	Reform UK	4842	9.8%
Pippa Smith	Labour Party	2306	4.7%
Phil Clayton	Green Party	1486	3.0%
John Studholme	Independent	111	0.2%
Izzy Solabarrieta	Heritage Party	81	0.2%
Wendy Long	Social Democratic Party	57	0.1%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5140 (9.48%)
Turnout: 74.9%