Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Danny Beales
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Green: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 24.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 97.8% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 587 (1.27%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Beales | Labour Party | 16599 | 36.2% |
| Steve Tuckwell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 16012 | 34.9% |
| Tim Wheeler | Reform UK | 6610 | 14.4% |
| Sarah Charmian Green | Green Party | 4354 | 9.5% |
| Ian Rex-Hawkes | Liberal Democrats | 1752 | 3.8% |
| Gary Lee Harbord | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 223 | 0.5% |
| Steve Gardner | Social Democratic Party | 200 | 0.4% |
| Geoff Courtenay | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 164 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7939 (15.63%)
Turnout: 67.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 26712 | 52.6% |
| Labour | 18773 | 37.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3371 | 6.6% |
| Green | 1347 | 2.7% |
| Other | 579 | 1.1% |