Tonbridge

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 45.0%; Ref: 32.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Green: 20.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40.0%; Ref: 36.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Green: 17.0%; Lab: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Green: 21.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 19.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Green: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Green: 15.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Green: 17.0%; Lab: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 14.0%; Lab: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 15.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 11166 (22.18%)
Turnout: 69.13%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tom Tugendhat	Conservative and Unionist Party	20517	40.8%
Lewis William John Bailey	Labour Party	9351	18.6%
Anna Victoria Cope	Green Party	7596	15.1%
Teresa Hansford	Reform UK	7548	15.0%
John Woollcombe	Liberal Democrats	4234	8.4%
Tim Shaw	Independent Alliance (Kent)	926	1.8%
Ian Grattidge	Social Democratic Party	156	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 27052 (49.68%)
Turnout: 73.9%