Thirsk and Malton

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 34%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 11%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 38%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 34%; Lab: 13%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 35%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 27%; LD: 14%; Lab: 13%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 13%; LD: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 31%; LD: 17%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 15%; LD: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 15%; LD: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 14%; LD: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 15%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 16%; LD: 11%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7550 (15.16%)
Turnout: 63.46%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kevin Hollinrake	Conservative and Unionist Party	19544	39.2%
Lisa Banes	Labour Party	11994	24.1%
Mark Robinson	Reform UK	8963	18.0%
Steve Mason	Liberal Democrats	5379	10.8%
Richard George McLane	Green Party	2986	6.0%
Luke Martin John Brownlee	Yorkshire Party	931	1.9%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23337 (44.70%)
Turnout: 68.1%