Tatton

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 22%; Green: 12%; LD: 11%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 18%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 23%; LD: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 20%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 20%; LD: 12%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 22%; LD: 14%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 19%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 19%; LD: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 24%; LD: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 23%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%; LD: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 23%; LD: 11%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Lab: 29%; Ref: 18%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1136 (2.18%)
Turnout: 69.92%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Esther McVey	Conservative and Unionist Party	19956	38.4%
Ryan Jude	Labour Party	18820	36.3%
Oliver George Speakman	Reform UK	5948	11.5%
Jonathan Smith	Liberal Democrats	4614	8.9%
Nigel Hennerley	Green Party	2571	5.0%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 19281 (34.80%)
Turnout: 73.3%