Stroud
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Simon Opher
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Green: 17.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Green: 19.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 46.0%; Ref: 39.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 15.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Green: 18.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Green: 15.0%; LD: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Green: 17.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Green: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11388 (20.62%)
Turnout: 70.88%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Opher | Labour Party | 25607 | 46.4% |
| Siobhan Baillie | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14219 | 25.7% |
| Chris Lester | Reform UK | 6329 | 11.5% |
| Pete Kennedy | Green Party | 5729 | 10.4% |
| George William James | Liberal Democrats | 2913 | 5.3% |
| Saskia Whitfield | Independent | 261 | 0.5% |
| Jason Philip Hughes | Volt United Kingdom | 163 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2467 (4.06%)
Turnout: 79.6%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 27733 | 45.7% |
| Labour | 25266 | 41.6% |
| Green | 4857 | 8.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1356 | 2.2% |
| Reform UK | 909 | 1.5% |
| Other | 567 | 0.9% |