Stratford-on-Avon

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 21.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; LD: 35.0%; Cons: 16.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 18.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 25.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 25.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 22.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 90.6%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7122 (13.44%)
Turnout: 69.95%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Manuela Perteghella	Liberal Democrats	23450	44.3%
Chris Clarkson	Conservative and Unionist Party	16328	30.8%
James Phillip Crocker	Reform UK	7753	14.6%
Seyi Agboola	Labour Party	3753	7.1%
Doug Rouxel	Green Party	1197	2.3%
Kevin Taylor	Independent	292	0.6%
Neil O'Neil	New Open Non-Political Organised Leadership	186	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 19020 (35.51%)
Turnout: 74%