Stockton West

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 22%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 46%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 12%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 23%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 16%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 20%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 24%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 26%; LD: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 24%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 23%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 24%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 26%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 23%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Lab: 29%; Ref: 21%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2139 (4.39%)
Turnout: 67.68%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Matt Vickers	Conservative and Unionist Party	20372	41.9%
Joe Dancey	Labour Party	18233	37.5%
Steve Matthews	Reform UK	6833	14.0%
Anna-Maria Toms	Green Party	1477	3.0%
Nigel Frederick Boddy	Liberal Democrats	1203	2.5%
Mohammed Zaroof	Independent	263	0.5%
Vivek Chhabra	Independent	106	0.2%
Niko Omilana	Independent	106	0.2%
Monty Brack	Independents for Direct Democracy	45	0.1%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 11749 (22.57%)
Turnout: 74.2%