Stockton West

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 46.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 23.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 16.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 23.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 24.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2139 (4.39%)
Turnout: 67.68%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Matt Vickers	Conservative and Unionist Party	20372	41.9%
Joe Dancey	Labour Party	18233	37.5%
Steve Matthews	Reform UK	6833	14.0%
Anna-Maria Toms	Green Party	1477	3.0%
Nigel Frederick Boddy	Liberal Democrats	1203	2.5%
Mohammed Zaroof	Independent	263	0.5%
Vivek Chhabra	Independent	106	0.2%
Niko Omilana	Independent	106	0.2%
Monty Brack	Independents for Direct Democracy	45	0.1%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 11749 (22.57%)
Turnout: 74.2%