St Ives

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 19%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 25%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Ref: 39%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 13%
More in Common September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 20%
More in Common July 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 17%; Lab: 10%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 21%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 13786 (28.65%)
Turnout: 68.74%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew George	Liberal Democrats	25033	52.0%
Derek Thomas	Conservative and Unionist Party	11247	23.4%
Giane James Mortimer	Reform UK	6492	13.5%
Filson Ali	Labour Party	2788	5.8%
Ian Edward Flindall	Green Party	1797	3.7%
Dave Laity	Independent	360	0.7%
Paul William Nicholson	The Liberal Party	187	0.4%
Jason Saunders	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	111	0.2%
John Richard Harris	The Common People	91	0.2%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5227 (9.69%)
Turnout: 76.9%