St Ives

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 19.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 25.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Ref: 39.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 20.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Lab: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 23.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 13786 (28.65%)
Turnout: 68.74%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew George	Liberal Democrats	25033	52.0%
Derek Thomas	Conservative and Unionist Party	11247	23.4%
Giane James Mortimer	Reform UK	6492	13.5%
Filson Ali	Labour Party	2788	5.8%
Ian Edward Flindall	Green Party	1797	3.7%
Dave Laity	Independent	360	0.7%
Paul William Nicholson	The Liberal Party	187	0.4%
Jason Saunders	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	111	0.2%
John Richard Harris	The Common People	91	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5227 (9.69%)
Turnout: 76.9%