St Helens North
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: David Baines
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 37%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 27%; Green: 17%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Lab: 24%; Green: 13%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Lab: 25%; Green: 13%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Lab: 40% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 30%; Green: 14% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 29%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Lab: 30%; Cons: 11%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Lab: 28% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 34%; Green: 12%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 32%; Cons: 13%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Lab: 30%; Cons: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 35%; Cons: 11% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 12%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12169 (30.06%)
Turnout: 53.62%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Baines | Labour Party | 21284 | 52.6% |
| Mal Webster | Reform UK | 9115 | 22.5% |
| Jayne Louise Rear | Conservative and Unionist Party | 4507 | 11.1% |
| Daniel John Thomas | Green Party | 3495 | 8.6% |
| Pat Moloney | Liberal Democrats | 1799 | 4.4% |
| Joe Greenhalgh | English Constitution Party | 274 | 0.7% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12209 (25.67%)
Turnout: 62.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24870 | 52.3% |
| Conservative | 12661 | 26.6% |
| Reform UK | 5396 | 11.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2668 | 5.6% |
| Green | 1966 | 4.1% |