Spelthorne
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Lincoln Jopp
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; LD: 16%; Green: 13%; Lab: 12% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 27%; LD: 18%; Lab: 17%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 33%; LD: 11%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 16%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 15%; LD: 14% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; LD: 20%; Lab: 15%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 24%; LD: 21%; Lab: 13% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 18%; LD: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 18%; LD: 15% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 24%; LD: 20%; Lab: 17%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 19%; LD: 14% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 21%; LD: 18% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 17%; LD: 17% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%; LD: 18% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1590 (3.44%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Jopp | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14038 | 30.4% |
| Clare Marie Tighe | Labour Party | 12448 | 27.0% |
| Harry Boparai | Liberal Democrats | 8710 | 18.9% |
| Rory O'Brien | Reform UK | 8284 | 17.9% |
| Manu Singh | Green Party | 2413 | 5.2% |
| Alistair Miller | Social Democratic Party | 273 | 0.6% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 18393 (37.15%)
Turnout: 67.9%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 29141 | 58.9% |
| Labour | 10748 | 21.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7499 | 15.1% |
| Green | 2122 | 4.3% |