Southend West and Leigh
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: David Burton-Sampson
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 19.0%; LD: 14.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 24.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 1949 (4.14%)
Turnout: 62.50%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Burton-Sampson | Labour Party | 16739 | 35.6% |
| Anna Firth | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14790 | 31.5% |
| Peter Robert Little | Reform UK | 8273 | 17.6% |
| Tilly Hogrebe | Green Party | 3262 | 6.9% |
| Stephen Cummins | Liberal Democrats | 3174 | 6.8% |
| James Miller | Confelicity | 262 | 0.6% |
| Tom Darwood | Independent | 172 | 0.4% |
| Jason Pilley | The Moon And Serpent Party | 99 | 0.2% |
| Lara Michelle Hurley | Heritage Party | 99 | 0.2% |
| Robert David John Francis | Independent | 98 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15454 (30.05%)
Turnout: 66.9%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 30367 | 59.1% |
| Labour | 14913 | 29.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5449 | 10.6% |
| Other | 692 | 1.3% |