Southend East and Rochford

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 18%; Green: 16%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 19%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 16%; Green: 14%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 19%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 18%; Green: 12%; LD: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21%; LD: 12%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 21%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 22%; Green: 10%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 25%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 26%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 22%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 26%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4027 (10.15%)
Turnout: 56.48%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Bayo Alaba	Labour Party	15395	38.8%
Gavin Haran	Conservative and Unionist Party	11368	28.7%
Leslie Lilley	Reform UK	7214	18.2%
Simon Cross	Green Party	2716	6.8%
James Joseph Allen	Liberal Democrats	2269	5.7%
Lee John Clark	Confelicity	488	1.2%
Bianca Eleanor Isherwood	Heritage Party	206	0.5%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 11942 (27.67%)
Turnout: 61.6%