South West Wiltshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; Ref: 38.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 11.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 17.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 26.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 19.0%; LD: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3243 (7.02%)
Turnout: 63.18%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew Murrison	Conservative and Unionist Party	15617	33.8%
Evelyn Akoto	Labour Party	12374	26.8%
Garry Melvyn Irvin	Reform UK	7840	17.0%
Bret Palmer	Liberal Democrats	7205	15.6%
Fay Whitfield	Green Party	2243	4.9%
James Adam Robertson Ernest Ward	Independent	448	1.0%
Thomas Culshaw	Independent	441	1.0%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17378 (36.78%)
Turnout: 66%