South West Wiltshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 31%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 28%; LD: 16%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 38%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 14%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 12%; LD: 11%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 25%; LD: 17%; Lab: 14%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 25%; LD: 16%; Lab: 13%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 27%; LD: 19%; Lab: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 18%; LD: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 26%; LD: 19%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 19%; LD: 13%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 20%; LD: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 17%; LD: 15%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 20%; LD: 14%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3243 (7.02%)
Turnout: 63.18%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew Murrison	Conservative and Unionist Party	15617	33.8%
Evelyn Akoto	Labour Party	12374	26.8%
Garry Melvyn Irvin	Reform UK	7840	17.0%
Bret Palmer	Liberal Democrats	7205	15.6%
Fay Whitfield	Green Party	2243	4.9%
James Adam Robertson Ernest Ward	Independent	448	1.0%
Thomas Culshaw	Independent	441	1.0%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17378 (36.78%)
Turnout: 66%