South West Hertfordshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 21%; LD: 17%; Lab: 12%; Green: 11%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 24%; LD: 19%; Lab: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 24%; LD: 21%; Lab: 13%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 16%; LD: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 20%; LD: 17%; Lab: 15%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 26%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 26%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 27%; LD: 18%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 23%; LD: 18%; Lab: 17%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 23%; LD: 19%; Lab: 17%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 18%; LD: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 18%; LD: 17%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; LD: 24%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 16%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4456 (9.23%)
Turnout: 67.27%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Gagan Mohindra	Conservative and Unionist Party	16458	34.1%
Sally Symington	Liberal Democrats	12002	24.9%
Alex Sufit	Labour Party	9637	20.0%
Keith Steers	Reform UK	6790	14.1%
Narinder Sian	Green Party	2532	5.2%
Bernadette O'Malley	Party Of Women	295	0.6%
Victor Silkin	Rejoin EU	232	0.5%
Michael McGetrick	Social Democratic Party	158	0.3%
Ketankumar Pipaliya	UK Voice	150	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17623 (34.63%)
Turnout: 71.1%