South West Hertfordshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 20.0%; LD: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 23.0%; LD: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; LD: 24.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 16.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4456 (9.23%)
Turnout: 67.27%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Gagan Mohindra	Conservative and Unionist Party	16458	34.1%
Sally Symington	Liberal Democrats	12002	24.9%
Alex Sufit	Labour Party	9637	20.0%
Keith Steers	Reform UK	6790	14.1%
Narinder Sian	Green Party	2532	5.2%
Bernadette O'Malley	Party Of Women	295	0.6%
Victor Silkin	Rejoin EU	232	0.5%
Michael McGetrick	Social Democratic Party	158	0.3%
Ketankumar Pipaliya	UK Voice	150	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17623 (34.63%)
Turnout: 71.1%