South Northamptonshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 12%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 15%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 34%; Lab: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 16%; Green: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 11%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 17%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 15%; LD: 13%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 19%; LD: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 18%; LD: 13%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 17%; LD: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 18%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 21%; LD: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3687 (6.86%)
Turnout: 68.64%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Sarah Bool	Conservative and Unionist Party	19191	35.7%
Rufia Ashraf	Labour Party	15504	28.9%
Paul Hogan	Reform UK	8962	16.7%
Stewart Tolley	Liberal Democrats	4989	9.3%
Emmie Williamson	Green Party	3040	5.7%
Ian Alexander McCord	Independent	1556	2.9%
Mick Stott	Workers Party of Britain	246	0.5%
Stuart Robert	Independent	209	0.4%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23671 (42.40%)
Turnout: 72.9%