South Devon

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 23%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 27%; LD: 24%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Ref: 39%; Cons: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 18%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 22%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 24%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 21%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 23%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7127 (14.54%)
Turnout: 67.82%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Caroline Voaden	Liberal Democrats	22540	46.0%
Anthony Mangnall	Conservative and Unionist Party	15413	31.5%
Michael Bagley	Reform UK	6363	13.0%
Daniel Steel	Labour Party	3066	6.3%
Robert Bagnall	Green Party	1497	3.1%
Becca Collings	Heritage Party	125	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 13719 (25.31%)
Turnout: 75.6%