South Cotswolds

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 37%; Ref: 12%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 25%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 25%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 25%; Ref: 23%; Green: 10%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 24%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 22%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 25%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 24%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 21%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 34%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 18%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 17%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 4973 (9.51%)
Turnout: 72.65%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Roz Savage	Liberal Democrats	22961	43.9%
James Gray	Conservative and Unionist Party	17988	34.4%
Desi Latimer	Reform UK	5146	9.8%
Zoë Billingham	Labour Party	3942	7.5%
Bob Eastoe	Green Party	1564	3.0%
Chris Green	The Liberal Party	225	0.4%
Sandy Steel	Independent	183	0.3%
Martin Broomfield	Social Democratic Party	156	0.3%
Owen Humphrys	Independent	122	0.2%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16092 (30.25%)
Turnout: 73%