Solihull West and Shirley

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 28%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 17%; LD: 14%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 45%; Ref: 30%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 19%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 36%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; LD: 19%; Lab: 13%; Green: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 26%; LD: 17%; Lab: 14%; Green: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 21%; LD: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 26%; LD: 17%; Lab: 16%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 25%; LD: 20%; Lab: 16%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 17%; LD: 15%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 21%; LD: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 17%; LD: 14%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 16%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4620 (9.85%)
Turnout: 65.28%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Neil Shastri-Hurst	Conservative and Unionist Party	16284	34.7%
Deirdre Fox	Labour Party	11664	24.9%
Ade Adeyemo	Liberal Democrats	7916	16.9%
Mary Ann McKenna	Reform UK	7149	15.3%
Max McLoughlin	Green Party	3270	7.0%
Julian Knight	Independent	594	1.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20798 (41.44%)
Turnout: 71.1%