Sevenoaks

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 32.0%; LD: 19.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 32.0%; LD: 13.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 29.0%; LD: 16.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 25.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 30.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 24.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 20.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5440 (10.90%)
Turnout: 67.70%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Laura Trott	Conservative and Unionist Party	18328	36.7%
Richard Streatfeild	Liberal Democrats	12888	25.8%
James Douglas Milmine	Reform UK	9341	18.7%
Denise Roseanna Scott-McDonald	Labour and Co-operative Party	6802	13.6%
Laura Manston	Green Party	2033	4.1%
Elwyn Lloyd Jones	Rejoin EU	298	0.6%
Adam Hibbert	Social Democratic Party	209	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 21793 (42.32%)
Turnout: 69.9%