Sefton Central
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Bill Esterson
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 47.0%; Ref: 40.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Green: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 49.0%; Ref: 37.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 37.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Green: 15.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 16.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 17.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 17.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Safe Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 45.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 18.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 18282 (38.52%)
Turnout: 63.88%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Esterson | Labour Party | 26772 | 56.4% |
| Marcus Bleasdale | Conservative and Unionist Party | 8490 | 17.9% |
| Nagender Chindam | Reform UK | 5767 | 12.2% |
| Kieran Dams | Green Party | 3294 | 6.9% |
| Gareth Lloyd-Johnson | Liberal Democrats | 2630 | 5.5% |
| Ralph Norgate James | Independent | 496 | 1.0% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10414 (18.24%)
Turnout: 76.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30014 | 52.6% |
| Conservative | 19600 | 34.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3789 | 6.6% |
| Reform UK | 2081 | 3.6% |
| Green | 1183 | 2.1% |
| Other | 422 | 0.7% |