Scunthorpe
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Nicholas Dakin
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 18.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 48.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 18.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 21.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 22.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 28.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 56.8%; Cons: 43.2% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 3542 (9.07%)
Turnout: 52.88%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dakin | Labour Party | 15484 | 39.7% |
| Holly Mumby-Croft | Conservative and Unionist Party | 11942 | 30.6% |
| Darren Haley | Reform UK | 8163 | 20.9% |
| Nick Cox | Green Party | 1218 | 3.1% |
| Dr Abdul R Butt | Independent | 1202 | 3.1% |
| Cahal Burke | Liberal Democrats | 942 | 2.4% |
| Scott Curtis | Heritage Party | 100 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10133 (21.44%)
Turnout: 63.6%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 26616 | 56.3% |
| Labour | 16483 | 34.9% |
| Reform UK | 2044 | 4.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1249 | 2.6% |
| Green | 866 | 1.8% |