Scarborough and Whitby

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20%; Green: 14%
More in Common April 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 19%; Green: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 16%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 22%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 20%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 21%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Lab: 27%; Cons: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 23%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 25%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 24%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 28%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5408 (12.22%)
Turnout: 59.32%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Alison Hume	Labour Party	17758	40.2%
Roberto Weeden-Sanz	Conservative and Unionist Party	12350	27.9%
David Bowes	Reform UK	9657	21.8%
Robert Graham Lockwood	Liberal Democrats	1899	4.3%
Annette Hudspeth	Green Party	1719	3.9%
Lee Francis Derrick	Yorkshire Party	477	1.1%
Thomas Peter Foster	Social Democratic Party	285	0.6%
Asa Joe Benjamin Jones	Social Justice Party	76	0.2%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10270 (20.65%)
Turnout: 67.3%