Salisbury

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 20%; LD: 17%; Lab: 16%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 26%; LD: 18%; Lab: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 25%; LD: 22%; Lab: 15%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 17%; Green: 13%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 25%; LD: 20%; Lab: 17%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 27%; LD: 19%; Lab: 17%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 24%; Lab: 20%; Ref: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 19%; LD: 18%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 19%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 19%; LD: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; LD: 21%; Lab: 19%; Ref: 19%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; LD: 22%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 18%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3807 (7.58%)
Turnout: 69.88%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
John Glen	Conservative and Unionist Party	17110	34.1%
Matt Aldridge	Labour Party	13303	26.5%
Victoria Susan Charleston	Liberal Democrats	11825	23.6%
Julian Malins	Reform UK	5235	10.4%
Barney Norris	Green Party	2115	4.2%
Arthur Pendragon	Independent	458	0.9%
Chris Harwood	Climate Party	127	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 18848 (35.73%)
Turnout: 75.1%