Richmond Park

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Ref: 12.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 54.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 12.0%
More in Common September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 13.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Ref: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 52.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Ref: 11.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Ref: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 50.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 17155 (32.86%)
Turnout: 69.62%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Sarah Olney	Liberal Democrats	28528	54.6%
Sara Gezdari	Conservative and Unionist Party	11373	21.8%
Laura Coryton	Labour Party	5048	9.7%
Chas Warlow	Green Party	3416	6.5%
Michael Hearn	Reform UK	3258	6.2%
Chris French	The Mitre TW9	349	0.7%
Richard Harrison	Social Democratic Party	233	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7725 (13.07%)
Turnout: 78.7%