Rayleigh and Wickford

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 37%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 29%; LD: 13%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 40%
More in Common January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 48%; Cons: 35%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 13%; LD: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 27%; LD: 17%; Lab: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 27%; LD: 17%; Lab: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 15%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 15%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 34%; Lab: 16%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 15%; LD: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 33%; Lab: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 17%; LD: 10%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5621 (11.71%)
Turnout: 62.78%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Mark Francois	Conservative and Unionist Party	17756	37.0%
Grant Robert Joseph Randall	Reform UK	12135	25.3%
James Richard Hedges	Labour Party	11823	24.6%
Stewart Mott	Liberal Democrats	4068	8.5%
Chris Taylor	Green Party	2196	4.6%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 30348 (57.26%)
Turnout: 69.3%