Oxford West and Abingdon

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Green: 17.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 25.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 47.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 15.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Ref: 15.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%; Ref: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 15.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 14894 (32.37%)
Turnout: 65.85%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Layla Moran	Liberal Democrats	23414	50.9%
Vinay Raniga	Conservative and Unionist Party	8520	18.5%
Stephen Edwin Dominic Webb	Labour Party	5981	13.0%
James Gunn	Reform UK	4164	9.1%
Chris Goodall	Green Party	3236	7.0%
Anni Byard	Social Democratic Party	259	0.6%
Ian Oliver Michael Shelley	Christian Peoples Alliance	256	0.6%
Josh Phillips	Independent	168	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 9577 (18.09%)
Turnout: 73.5%