Oldham East and Saddleworth
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Debbie Abrahams
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Lab: 19%; Green: 17%; Cons: 15%; Other: 14% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 14%; LD: 13%; Other: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 16%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 16%; Green: 12%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Lab: 29% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 12%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%; Other: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 14%; LD: 14% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 16%; Other: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 14%; Other: 14% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 13%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 19%; Other: 13% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 18%; LD: 11%; Other: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 22%; Other: 17%; Cons: 16% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 17%; Other: 14% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 91% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6357 (15.86%)
Turnout: 55.06%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debbie Abrahams | Labour Party | 14091 | 35.2% |
| Jacob Barden | Reform UK | 7734 | 19.3% |
| Tom Fish | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6838 | 17.1% |
| Shanaz Saddique | Workers Party of Britain | 4647 | 11.6% |
| Sam Al-Hamdani | Liberal Democrats | 3386 | 8.5% |
| Fesl Reza-Khan | Green Party | 1490 | 3.7% |
| Paul Boots Errock | Independent | 1362 | 3.4% |
| Nick Buckley | Independent | 517 | 1.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 1499 (3.24%)
Turnout: 63.2%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 20088 | 43.5% |
| Conservative | 18589 | 40.3% |
| Reform UK | 2980 | 6.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2423 | 5.2% |
| Other | 1306 | 2.8% |
| Green | 778 | 1.7% |