North West Essex

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 31%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 15%; LD: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 18%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 14%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 17%; LD: 15%; Green: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 16%; LD: 15%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 20%; LD: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 20%; LD: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 20%; LD: 15%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 21%; LD: 12%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 21%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 11%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Lab: 23%; Ref: 19%; LD: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2610 (4.79%)
Turnout: 68.24%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kemi Badenoch	Conservative and Unionist Party	19360	35.6%
Issy Waite	Labour Party	16750	30.8%
Grant StClair-Armstrong	Reform UK	7668	14.1%
Smita Rajesh	Liberal Democrats	6055	11.1%
Edward Vernon Gildea	Green Party	2846	5.2%
Andrew David Green	Independent	852	1.6%
Erik Bonino	Independent	699	1.3%
Niko Omilana	Independent	156	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23227 (42.01%)
Turnout: 72.5%