North West Essex

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 14.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 15.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 15.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 19.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2610 (4.79%)
Turnout: 68.24%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kemi Badenoch	Conservative and Unionist Party	19360	35.6%
Issy Waite	Labour Party	16750	30.8%
Grant StClair-Armstrong	Reform UK	7668	14.1%
Smita Rajesh	Liberal Democrats	6055	11.1%
Edward Gildea	Green Party	2846	5.2%
Andrew David Green	Independent	852	1.6%
Erik Bonino	Independent	699	1.3%
Niko Omilana	Independent	156	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23227 (42.01%)
Turnout: 72.5%