North Shropshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 47.0%; Ref: 40.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 43.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 12.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 18.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 18.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 50.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 22.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 20.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 15311 (30.87%)
Turnout: 63.93%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Helen Morgan	Liberal Democrats	26214	52.9%
Simon Baynes	Conservative and Unionist Party	10903	22.0%
Mark Whittle	Reform UK	7687	15.5%
Natalie Rowley	Labour Party	3423	6.9%
Craig Emery	Green Party	1234	2.5%
Samuel Cladingbowl	Independent	133	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20543 (39.30%)
Turnout: 67.8%