North Dorset

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 26.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 31.0%; LD: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 22.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 27.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 24.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 25.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 25.0%; LD: 23.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 23.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1589 (3.19%)
Turnout: 68.35%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Simon Hoare	Conservative and Unionist Party	18208	36.6%
Gary Jackson	Liberal Democrats	16619	33.5%
Ash Leaning	Reform UK	7894	15.9%
James Coldwell	Labour Party	4370	8.8%
Ken Huggins	Green Party	2082	4.2%
Simon Adams	Independent	317	0.6%
Jeff Taylor	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	119	0.2%
Daniel Woodruffe	Social Democratic Party	74	0.1%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23195 (43.38%)
Turnout: 74.1%