North Cornwall

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 23.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 28.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Ref: 44.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 17.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 23.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 23.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 25.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 24.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 9957 (19.43%)
Turnout: 66.78%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Ben Maguire	Liberal Democrats	24094	47.0%
Scott Mann	Conservative and Unionist Party	14137	27.6%
Rowland O'Connor	Reform UK	8444	16.5%
Robyn Harris	Labour Party	2958	5.8%
Lance Symonds	Green Party	1335	2.6%
Sarah Farrell	Heritage Party	277	0.5%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15783 (29.18%)
Turnout: 72.1%