New Forest West

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 32%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 29%; LD: 16%; Lab: 13%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 34%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 30%; Green: 13%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 38%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 22%; LD: 20%; Lab: 13%; Green: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 28%; LD: 15%; Lab: 12%; Green: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 25%; LD: 19%; Lab: 16%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 16%; LD: 16%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 25%; LD: 17%; Lab: 14%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 16%; LD: 15%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 17%; LD: 13%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 15%; LD: 14%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 17%; LD: 16%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5600 (12.08%)
Turnout: 67.50%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Desmond Swayne	Conservative and Unionist Party	16412	35.4%
Sally Johnston	Labour Party	10812	23.3%
Jack Davies	Liberal Democrats	8186	17.7%
Reginald Chester-Sterne	Reform UK	7577	16.4%
Anna Collar	Green Party	2800	6.0%
Gavin Sean Ridley	Animal Welfare Party	393	0.8%
Paul Simon	Social Democratic Party	157	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 24403 (48.50%)
Turnout: 70.8%