New Forest East

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 33%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 30%; LD: 15%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 36%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 31%; Green: 11%; Lab: 11%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 38%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 28%; LD: 17%; Green: 11%; Lab: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 29%; LD: 16%; Lab: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 28%; LD: 18%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 28%; LD: 14%; Lab: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 29%; LD: 18%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 14%; LD: 14%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 26%; LD: 17%; Lab: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 13%; LD: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 27%; LD: 16%; Lab: 14%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8495 (18.78%)
Turnout: 64.05%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Julian Lewis	Conservative and Unionist Party	17412	38.5%
Sasjkia Otto	Labour Party	8917	19.7%
Roy Swales	Reform UK	7646	16.9%
Caroline Louise Rackham	Liberal Democrats	7198	15.9%
Simon King	Green Party	3118	6.9%
Mad Hatter	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	529	1.2%
Andrew David Knight	Animal Welfare Party	410	0.9%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 25251 (49.72%)
Turnout: 68.8%