New Forest East

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43.0%; Ref: 36.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 38.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 17.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 29.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 18.0%; Lab: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 14.0%; Lab: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; LD: 18.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8495 (18.78%)
Turnout: 64.05%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Julian Lewis	Conservative and Unionist Party	17412	38.5%
Sasjkia Otto	Labour Party	8917	19.7%
Roy Swales	Reform UK	7646	16.9%
Caroline Rackham	Liberal Democrats	7198	15.9%
Simon King	Green Party	3118	6.9%
Mad Hatter	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	529	1.2%
Andrew David Knight	Animal Welfare Party	410	0.9%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 25251 (49.72%)
Turnout: 68.8%